This in the Thursday storm from Skiology Matt at
https://www.facebook.com/search/top/?q=northeast skiology group&epa=SEARCH_BOX
This guy is my go-to for ski weather in New England.
THURSDAY STORM UPDATE #2: On Track, Significant Back-End Event, Some Wind Issues
Dear N-VT, you're getting a foot by Friday morning. Surprise! This sleeper storm will start impacting our focus area around 12 a.m. Thursday and the front end should clear ME by about close the same day, but back-end and lake effect snow will have enough wind and moisture to add substantially to the totals in the northern areas and along the lakes. Winds may be an issue in S-NY Thursday, and on Friday parts of N-NH and N-ME may be problematic for the first half of the day.
Attached is the latest NWS snowfall map through 7 a.m. Friday, and it includes small totals from tonight's light system. Also the ECMWF 1 hour precipitation intensity loop from 4 p.m. Wednesday through Thursday is attached. Although this is in range of the NAM3K, it is not tracking correctly and it won't be shared until it does (only trust NAM3K with the correct track).
Rain/Snow Line: S-NY and MA will likely all flip from snow to light rain and maybe back to snow, but there isn't a lot of moisture south of the low pressure center which tracks mostly west to east near Killington. Snow looks more promising further south in S-NH with places like Gunstock and possibly even Sunapee staying all or mostly snow, with more confidence of Waterville and Ragged staying snow. Mount Snow could also flip to light rain or drizzle in the middle of the storm as they are borderline. Gore looks good in NY, but West is borderline for a changeover.
Front-End Snow: This will be heaviest north of the low, meaning primarily N-NY, N-VT, N-NH, but S-ME actually looks better than N-ME on the front-end. This snow all falls just before and during the ski day, and I would expect generally 3"-6" during that time. Not quite a powder day, but this should ski well with some of the ice still needing resurfacing given the low traffic.
Back-End Snow: The wind will be primarily NNW and that favors bringing snow even south of Killington in small amounts, it also is a good direction for Burke. N-NH may benefit less in comparison due to the SE track of the storm off the coast not bringing wind at the most opportune time, but some back-end snow will happen at the favorite spots concentrated on places like Cannon, Bretton Woods, Loon, and WIldcat. N-ME looks as if their potential is low for measurable snow on the back-end, and the 6" forecast amounts there are benefiting from the Wednesday morning light snow event. N-VT sidecountry and backcountry may be in play Friday morning, but the snow may taper off mostly by noon. There is definite potential for an over-perform based on the last model run. Lake effect looks quite healthy also and long-lived. All C-NY and W-NY resorts may benefit, some very nicely. I believe NWS Buffalo is currently low in their snow forecast.
Wind Issues: Thursday winds are indicating lift issues in the Catskills primarily, and Friday morning in N-NH and ME. I'll create maps.